Founders and Chief Scientists
Dr. Lewis Rothstein
Dr. Lewis M. Rothstein, President and Co-CEO of Accurate Environmental
Forecasting, Inc. and Professor of Oceanography at the University
of Rhode Island Graduate School of Oceanography is internationally
recognized for his work in designing numerical models of the fundamental
processes associated with the large scale ocean general circulation
on time and space scales relevant to global climate dynamics and
extreme ocean weather.
He has authored or co-authored over 50 articles and book chapters
on these topics and others, including co-editing a major collection
of El Nino research papers entitled "The TOGA Decade: Reviewing
the Progress of El Nino Research and Prediction" that summarizes
our present understanding of El Nino.
Dr. Rothstein served as the editor of the Journal of Geophysical
Research, one of the premiere journals in physical oceanography.
He was a two-term member of the U.S. Science Steering Committee
for the World Ocean Circulation Experiment, has served on numerous
other national and international scientific committees, and has
served on review panels for the National Academy of Sciences, the
National Science Foundation, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration. He has delivered over 50 lectures worldwide at
international meetings as well as at oceanographic and atmospheric
institutions and has chaired the committees of seven doctoral students.
His research has been supported by the National Science Foundation,
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. Office
of Naval Research, and the private sector.
Dr. Isaac Ginis
Dr. Isaac Ginis, Chairman and Co-CEO of Accurate Environmental
Forecasting, Inc. and Professor of Oceanography at the University
of Rhode Island has an international reputation as a leading expert
in numerical modeling and forecasting of air-sea interaction during
hurricanes. He has published over 40 papers in scientific journals
and books on this topic and authored a chapter on hurricane-ocean
interaction for the book Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones
published by the World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
in 1995.
Dr. Ginis is actively involved in both the U.S.
and international tropical cyclone research and forecast communities.
During the last five years, he has made presentations at over 30
national and international meetings and delivered many invited
lectures. His ground-breaking work in developing a coupled hurricane-ocean
interaction model has led to significant improvement
in hurricane forecasting. The National Weather Service has embraced
this model which has become an operational hurricane model for
the National Hurricane Center.
Dr. Ginis is a recipient of several national awards,
including the 2001 NOAA Outstanding Scientific Paper Award, the
2002 National Oceanographic Partnership Program Excellence Award.
He has been named the 2002 Environmental Hero by the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration.
Scientists and Technical Support Staff
Dr. Dail Rowe
Dr. Dail Rowe joined AEF as a senior research
scientist in the fall of 1999. Since that time, he has been an
integral part of both the atmoshpheric and oceanic research and
development efforts at AEF. Rowe is a principal contributor to
many AEF programs including realtime tropical cyclone prediction,
simulation of historical tropical cyclone events, assessment of
risk from tropical cyclones and extratropical storms, research
into climatological control of tropical cyclone path and intensity,
research efforts aimed at improving the physical understanding
of eddy interactions with bathymetry, and development of a forecast
system for large eddies in the Gulf of Mexico.
Prior to joining AEF, Rowe participated in several
oceanographic programs both as a student at the University of Rhode
Island and as a researcher at the University of Hawaii. Rowe’s
dissertation research, which focused on subthermocline tropical
ocean circulation problems, required the application of a number
of numerical models including the GFDL MOM and the MICOM. Rowe
developed vertical mixing algorithms for the MICOM that improved
the simulation of both deep and surface equatorial current features.
At the University of Hawaii, Rowe’s research focused on air-sea
interactions in the western Pacific warm-pool that are essential
for understanding the ENSO phenomenon. He also continued his research
into tropical ocean circulation using both numerical modeling and
data analysis techniques.
Education,
Publications and Professional Activities
Dr. Raymond Richardson
Dr. Raymond Richardson joined AEF as a full-time senior research
scientist in January, 2002. Prior to that, he served as a consultant
to AEF on several projects related to numerical weather prediction
(NWP). During his tenure at AEF, Dr. Richardson has been primarily
involved in hurricane modeling and forecasting. He participated
in the development and implementation of the AEF real-time hurricane
forecasting system and has been one of the principal developers
of the AEF hurricane footprint model, that is used for rapid-response
analysis of landfalling storms and recreation of historical tropical
cyclone events. He is also involved in the development of hurricane
risk analysis tools based on AEF’s NWP technology.
Dr. Richardson brings to AEF over 8 years experience in numerical
modeling of geophysical fluids. Most of his research career and
has been devoted to the development, implementation and testing
of a wide variety of numerical models. These efforts have included
the development of a nested-grid primitive equation ocean model
for regional ocean studies, the development of a generalized inverse
for assimilation of ocean observational data into a primitive equation
model, and the modification of the GFDL hurricane model for high-resolution
recreation of historical events. He has also published works involving
the numerical study of the ocean response to equatorial westerly
wind bursts, and the upper ocean response to tropical squalls.
Education,
Publications and Professional Activities
Dr. Sergie Frolov
Since August 2001, Dr. Sergei Frolov has been
working as a research scientist at Accurate Environmental Forecasting
Inc. (AEF), during which time he participated in several oceanographic
research projects. The biggest and the most relevant project was
the MMS funded study Cross-Shelf Exchange Processes and the Deep-water
Circulation of the Gulf of Mexico: The Dynamical Effect of Submarine
Canyons and the Interactions of Loop Current with Topography. The
role of Dr. Frolov in this project was to design numerical experiments,
to configure numerical ocean models, to analyze hydrographic and
current meter data sets, and to write scientific reports. As the
result of this project he gained significant experience in reconstructing
the observed ocean current events and simulating them in regional
numerical models. In particular, he developed an extensive experience
in simulating eddy-topography interaction events, including Loop
Current eddies and Loop Current Frontal eddies.
Prior to working with AEF Dr. Frolov had extensive
experience in ocean numerical modeling while being a graduate research
assistant in the Graduate School of Oceanography program at the
University of Rhode Island (1995-2001). During this time he actively
participated in designing the ocean-coupled hurricane forecast
system, which is currently used as an operational forecast system
at the National Center for Climate Predictions (NCEP). For this
work he received an “Environmental Hero” award in 2001.
His doctoral dissertation work was focused on instabilities in
the Gulf Stream and the effects of bottom topography. This work
involved configuring a high resolution primitive equations numerical
model for a wide variety of experiments including zonal channel
and realistic topography experiments.
Dr. Frolov also has significant experience in
designing numerical ocean models. During his years as a research
assistant at the University of Rhode Island he designed a 1.5 layer
Quasi Geostrophic model based on a Boundary Element Method Poisson
solver and a multi-layer Intermediate Equations model based on
a multi-grid Poisson Solver. In addition to that he modified substantially
existing primitive equations model adopting it for specific experiments.
Education,
Publications and Professional Activities
Dr. Michael Dickinson
Dr. Michael Dickinson joined AEF as a senior research scientist
in 2003. Since joining AEF, Dr. Dickinson has focused on the simulation
of the latter stages of the tropical cyclone lifecycle including
extratropical transition and the simulation of the resulting extratropical
storms. He also has contributed substantially to AEF’s research
efforts in hurricane forecasting, hurricane risk assessment, and
the genesis of tropical cyclones.
Prior to joining AEF, Dr. Dickinson worked at the University at
Albany as a post doctoral research associate. His research responsibilities
included observational case studies of the transition of tropical
cyclones to extratropical storms. Dr. Dickinson was also involved
in numerical modeling efforts of the extratropical transition process.
While a student at the University at Albany, Dr. Dickinson published
works on a variety of topics including frontal interaction with
topography, explosive wintertime cyclogenesis, and the role of
equatorial waves in tropical cyclogenesis in the western North
Pacific Ocean.
Education,
Publications and Professional Activities
Management Advisors
Frank DeLuca
Mr. DeLuca is a proven leader in the technology
industry, with an accomplished career highlighted by managing successful
technology companies. He brings over twenty years of management
experience in positions ranging from Vice President/General Manager
of an oceanographic systems and service company to President of
an instrumentation manufacturer. In these and other positions Mr.
DeLuca was responsible for sustainable profitable growth.
For the past ten years Mr. DeLuca has been applying
his skills and experience as a consultant to a variety of small
and midsize companies. Mr. DeLuca works directly with company owners
to establish and implement appropriate strategies and modify these
strategies as the business environment evolves and changes.
Harold Talbot
Mr. Talbot has over 30 years experience in executive
management, marketing, and product development positions. Before
joining AEF he was managing director of Guy Carpenter and Company
with principal responsibility for corporate and public affairs,
Pacific Basin/Latin America Practice business and activities, and
the international coodination of EQECAT, a natural hazard risk
management joint venture serving insurance companies worldwide.
Prior to joining Guy Carpenter, Mr. Talbot was CEO of North American
Operations for Jardine Insurance Brokers Group, where he oversaw
the acquisition of Emett and Chandler and the creation of Jardine
Insurance Brokers Inc, the ninth largest insurance broker in the
United States with 1988 revenues of $96 million. Mr. Talbot has
also also held professional and executive positions with March
and McLennan where he was Managing Director responsible for client
multi-national programs including Area Manager for Europe with
membership on the International Management Committee.
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