The AEF Real-Time Tropical
Cyclone Prediction System provides our clients with regularly
updated (at 6 hour intervals), objective forecasts of hurricane
track and intensity with lead times of up to five days. Forecast
data, including predictions of surface wind, rainfall, and track,
are provided in both text and graphic formats via the Internet.
We also provide probabilistic
assessments of the surface wind and track which clearly show
not only the most probable course of events but also enable our
clients to determine the likelihood that any particular geographic
region will be affected by the storm of interest.
Example
of Extended Forecast
Tropical Cyclone FLOYD
Forecast on 9/13, 1200Z
Go to larger picture
Example
of Wind Swath
Tropical Cyclone BRET
Forecast on 8/21, 1200Z
Click image to enlarge.
Example
of Probable Course Forecast
Tropical Cyclone BRET
Forecast on 8/21, 1200Z
Click image to enlarge.
For more detailed information, on our
Real-time Forecast Products, including three and five day forecasts,
our ensemble forecasting technology, our high horizontal spatial
resolution forecasts, insured loss estimates, coastal flood forecasts,
our web based delivery system, and examples of our products from
past hurricanes, please contact us.