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Hurricane Modeling

Real-Time Forecast Systems

The AEF Real-Time Tropical Cyclone Prediction System provides our clients with regularly updated (at 6 hour intervals), objective forecasts of hurricane track and intensity with lead times of up to five days. Forecast data, including predictions of surface wind, rainfall, and track, are provided in both text and graphic formats via the Internet.

We also provide probabilistic assessments of the surface wind and track which clearly show not only the most probable course of events but also enable our clients to determine the likelihood that any particular geographic region will be affected by the storm of interest.

Example of Extended Forecast
Tropical Cyclone FLOYD
Forecast on 9/13, 1200Z
Example of Extended Forecast - Tropical Cyclone FLOYD
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Example of Wind Swath
Tropical Cyclone BRET
Forecast on 8/21, 1200Z Example of Wind Swath - Tropical Cyclone BRET
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Example of Probable Course Forecast
Tropical Cyclone BRET
Forecast on 8/21, 1200Z
Example of Probable Course Forecast - Tropical Cyclone BRET
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For more detailed information, on our Real-time Forecast Products, including three and five day forecasts, our ensemble forecasting technology, our high horizontal spatial resolution forecasts, insured loss estimates, coastal flood forecasts, our web based delivery system, and examples of our products from past hurricanes, please contact us.


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